The European Central Bank Podcast – bringing you insights into the world of economics and central banking.
Our hosts Paul Gordon and Stefania Secola talk to e...
Tariffs, tensions and tackling inflation: the road ahead
What impact do global events have on our economy? And how has the ECB’s monetary policy shifted?
As 2024 comes to an end, our host Paul Gordon discusses these questions and more with Chief Economist Philip R. Lane.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
Published on 20 December 2024 and recorded on 13 December 2024.
In this episode:
01:43: Geopolitics and monetary policy
How has geopolitics influenced the ECB’s work in 2024?
05:59: Reaching our 2% medium-term inflation target
From holding rates to cutting rates: have we tamed inflation yet?
09:40: Unemployment at record lows
What is the overall state of the economy? And what do the ECB’s latest projections tell us?
13:35 Europe’s competitiveness problem and the Draghi and Letta reports
What does Europe need to do to become more competitive? What do these reports recommend?
15:40: Philip Lane’s hot tip
ECB’s Chief Economist shares his hot tip with our listeners.
Further reading:
Monetary Policy Decisions – 12 December 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp241212~2acab6e51e.en.html
Much More Than a Market: Speed, Security, Solidarity – Empowering the Single Market to deliver a sustainable future and prosperity for all EU Citizens by Enrico Letta
https://www.consilium.europa.eu/media/ny3j24sm/much-more-than-a-market-report-by-enrico-letta.pdf
The future of European competitiveness: Report by Mario Draghi
https://commission.europa.eu/topics/strengthening-european-competitiveness/eu-competitiveness-looking-ahead_en
The Central Bank as Crisis Manager by Patrick Honohan
https://www.piie.com/bookstore/2024/central-bank-crisis-manager
Monetary policy under uncertainty
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2024/html/ecb.sp241125~df4c5a69c7.en.html
Navigating a fragmenting global trading system: insights for central banks
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/key/date/2024/html/ecb.sp241121_2~a4cbddd0f2.en.pdf
European Central Bank
www.ecb.europa.eu
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18:18
President Lagarde presents the latest monetary policy decisions – 12 December 2024
Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy, determining what’s needed to return inflation to our 2% goal in a timely manner.
Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers:
• how the economy is performing
• how we expect prices to develop
• the risks to the economic outlook
• the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions
Published and recorded during our press conference on 12 December 2024
Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 12 December 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2024/html/mopo_statement_explained_december.en.html
Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 12 December 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2024/html/ecb.is241212~ce143b3bc8.en.html
Monetary policy decisions, 12 December 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp241212~2acab6e51e.en.html
Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 12 December 2024
chrome-extension://efaidnbmnnnibpcajpcglclefindmkaj/https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/shared/pdf/ecb.ds241212~154574b25f.en.pdf
Macroeconomic projections, 12 December 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/projections/html/ecb.projections202412_eurosystemstaff~71a06224a5.en.html
European Central Bank
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
You can also listen on all major podcast platforms.
#MonetaryPolicy #EuropeanCentralBank #ChristineLagarde #Finance #FinancialConditions #Inflation #EconomicActivity #EconomicOutlook #PressConference #Banking #CentralBanking #Podcast #Economics #EU #Europe #ECB
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16:11
Navigating financial stability in uncertain times
How worried should Europe be about financial stability at a time of geopolitical and policy uncertainty and rising global trade tensions?
As we mark the 20th anniversary of our Financial Stability Review, our host Paul Gordon discusses the risks with expert John Fell in the latest episode of The ECB Podcast.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
Published on 25 November 2024 and recorded on 18 November 2024.
In this episode:
01:08: How worried about financial stability should we be in Europe?
03:37: The risk profile shift from inflation to growth: can it expose us to other kinds of risk?
06:50: Europe’s growth and productivity concerns: what role does finance play?
11:19: What are the risk findings related to the rise of passive investing in equity markets?
16:23: Twenty years of the ECB’s Financial Stability Review – how effective has it been?
19:47: Guest’s hot tip
Financial stability expert John Fell shares his hot tip with our listeners.
Further reading:
Financial Stability Review, November 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/financial-stability-publications/fsr/html/index.en.html
The future of European competitiveness: Report by Mario Draghi
https://commission.europa.eu/topics/strengthening-european-competitiveness/eu-competitiveness-looking-ahead_en
Ray Dalio’s “Principles for Dealing with the Changing World Order”
https://www.amazon.de/-/en/Principles-Dealing-Changing-World-Order/dp/1982160276
European Central Bank
www.ecb.europa.eu
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21:37
The financial fallout from a warming world
Climate change and nature loss are affecting all aspects of our lives, including our economies. What is the latest research telling us, and what is the cost to the economy? Stefania Secola talks to Executive Board member Frank Elderson and Deputy Director General and researcher Livio Stracca about how rising physical risks will affect our economies.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.
This episode was recorded before the tragic floods in Spain.
Published on 1 November.
In this episode:
01:42 Floods, wildfires and droughtsHow do climate change and nature degradation affect our economies? And how high was the economic loss caused by recent extreme weather events ?
05:52 Catastrophe insuranceWhat is it? How many people have it? And what does it mean for our preparedness if disaster were to strike?
06:57 Adapting to a changing economyIt’s clear that our environment is changing. How can we adapt our activities in the face of these changes?
10:05 The Network for Greening the Financial SystemWhat is it, and what does it do? And what does it have to do with central banks and supervisors?
12:32 How do climate change and nature loss affect our economies?How much higher are the expected losses than we previously thought? What’s the latest scientific research telling us?
14:58 Climate messages during the Conference of the Parties (COP) meetingsWhich topics need more attention? And what can we do about it?
19:19 Our guests’ hot tips
Further reading:
The impact of climate change and policies on productivity
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op340~0173592e52.en.pdf
Policy options to reduce the climate insurance protection gap
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/ecb.policyoptions_EIOPA~c0adae58b7.en.pdf
Managing climate-related risks
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/climate/managing_mitigating_climatel_risk/html/index.en.html
Living in a world of disappearing nature: physical risk and the implications for financial stability
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/scpops/ecb.op333~1b97e436be.en.pdf
What to do about Europe’s climate insurance gap
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/blog/date/2023/html/ecb.blog.230424~4cdc3a38ba.en.html
Failing to plan is planning to fail – why transition planning is essential for banks
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/blog/2024/html/ssm.blog240123~5471c5f63e.en.html
The climate insurance protection gap
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/climate/climate/html/index.en.html
The Network for Greening the Financial System
https://www.ngfs.net/en
Measuring economic losses caused by climate change
https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/measuring-economic-losses-caused-climate-change
“Know thyself” – avoiding policy mistakes in light of the prevailing climate science
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/press/speeches/date/2024/html/ssm.sp240412~c256dc168c.en.html
Hothouse Earth by Gill McGuire
https://www.google.com/search?safe=active&sca_esv=0d2d5197637c41d9&rlz=1C1GCEA_enDE1060DE1060&q=hothouse+earth+bill+mcguire&udm=3&fbs=AEQNm0Aa4sjWe7Rqy32pFwRj0UkWd8nbOJfsBGGB5IQQO6L3J_86uWOeqwdnV0yaSF-x2jqw-AzvpDFRWNmLZKilfTrfO0pl9dtT9e2t2elzSdzPviJlaPtdkm_zev73LcACj_Zt3WoLu1loKbhUBQ0BvD6_OC9OERnpW26hAPVqw_fTJrjRkQgEJf5SXlzvVj2JhcxyIvER&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwi2yfiVobGJAxX6_7sIHZckMjAQs6gLegQIExAB&biw=1280&bih=665&dpr=1.5
Climate Change 2023 Synthesis Report
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_LongerReport.pdf
Headline statements of the Synthesis Report
https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/resources/spm-headline-statements
Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Trailer
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T9CeECpxtx8
European Central Bank
https://www.ecb.europa.eu
European Banking Supervision
https://www.bankingsupervision.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
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23:26
President Lagarde presents the latest monetary policy decisions – 17 October 2024
Today our Governing Council decided on monetary policy, determining what’s needed to return inflation to our 2% goal in a timely manner.
Listen to President Christine Lagarde present today’s decisions. The statement also covers:
• how the economy is performing
• how we expect prices to develop
• the risks to the economic outlook
• the dynamics behind financial and monetary conditions
Published and recorded during our press conference on 17 October 2024
Our monetary policy statement at a glance, 17 October 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/visual-mps/2024/html/mopo_statement_explained_october.en.html
Christine Lagarde, Luis de Guindos: Monetary policy statement, 17 October 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/press_conference/monetary-policy-statement/2024/html/ecb.is241017~59ad385bab.en.html
Monetary policy decisions, 17 October 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp241017~aa366eaf20.en.html
Combined monetary policy decisions and statement, 17 October 2024
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/pr/date/2024/html/ecb.mp241017~aa366eaf20.en.html
European Central Bank
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html
You can also listen on all major podcast platforms.
#MonetaryPolicy #EuropeanCentralBank #ChristineLagarde #Finance #FinancialConditions #Inflation #EconomicActivity #EconomicOutlook #PressConference #Banking #CentralBanking #Podcast #Economics #EU #Europe #ECB
The European Central Bank Podcast – bringing you insights into the world of economics and central banking.
Our hosts Paul Gordon and Stefania Secola talk to experts about the topics and trends that matter to the eurozone economy today.
The views expressed are those of the speakers and not necessarily those of the European Central Bank.